Re: SuperMag Announcement March 12, 2007, Frustrations (Score: 1)
by modernsteam on Saturday, March 17, 2007 @ 08:00:58 GMT
(User Info | Send a Message) | I forgot to add that although £99. for a 10-Kw. machinde would be
very nice indeed, developers such as BlackLight Power of
Cranbury, New Jersey, are stating that manufacturing costs alone
would be something like US$150/Kw. Add the development (invention
process) costs through salaries and shares of future royalties for
currently modestly-paid engineers, scientists, technologists, and other
assorted technical assistants, lab equipment amortization and
depreciation, legal services, IP protection costs, mortgages or rent
for accomodation, pilot plant costs, strategic partners' portions
of costs, and the cost F.O.B. factory (not the price,
mind you) to begin with, would be more like US$400/Kw. So for 10
Kw, assuming, for example, savings per Kw. for a large
power unit, the cost alone would be estimated at about US$3,000 minimum.
Now, markups, of course, are added to that, and they can be sizeable,
often more than 100%. You'll notice on the Perendev website that the
100 Kw M-G set is leasing - not selling
- for 19,000 EU for five years only, plus costs of shipping, customs
etc.. Perendev would own the machine. Now, since the Euro currently is
worth more than the US$, let's say the lease "price" of the lease is
US$200/Kw. If Perendev decided to sell its machine to ownership by the
customer - and it won't sell outright - , could we fairly estimate such ownership sale to be about US$200,000 for the 100-Kw model?
Now, having given such a gory scenario, one-time "setup" costs (legal,
initial R&D salaries/wages and equipment, manufacturing equipment,
initial production hiring, various fees to the government) would have
been paid back through cash flow from initially highly-priced product
sales, leases, licenses and royalties over time, perhaps in as little
as 3 years, but it could be as long as 10, if the powers-that-be
interfere. Right away, most of, but not all, the fixed
costs would have been amortized. Then historically, manufacturing costs
decline over time, perhaps within three years, as better, more
efficient ways are developed and implemented to produce goods.
Roll-type printing of electronics on LCD screens is an example of such
advances leading to lower costs. In addition, increased cash flow from
gradually-reduced prices resulting in more goods sold, would provide
more funds for further product development to yet a smaller
footrint for a 10-Kw machine, for example, and nearly always, lower
manufacturing costs. As with Microsoft and Intel, the "Free Energy"
system would become self-financing, and devices ever more affordable to
boot.
So, since all we have is Perendev's word that they've leased about 60
100-Kw and 300-Kw M-G sets, and have seen no physical evidence of same,
eg., talking to true customers and seeing the devices working as
self-running entities, then we really don't know for sure if F-E
product is in production. We're waiting to observe Steorn's Orbo
and SuperVision's SuperMag as self-running devices. I believe,
though, that when physical confirmation of Perendev's device is
published, then the F-E industry will take off like a "bat out of
hell", since potential investors would have enough evidence that this
stuff is real, and is thus worth their time to investigate.
Hal Ade
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