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Re: GLOBAL WARMING TIME BOMB TRAPPED IN ARCTIC SOIL: STUDY (Score: 1)
by TechsArcana on Tuesday, August 26, 2008 @ 09:42:04 UTC
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Looks like more scare-mongering to me.  Focus on the worst possible case in warming, imagine that the reaction runs to completion with an ever-renewing source of carbon, and then totally neglect any carbon squestering effects.

from the link:

> This is roughly equivalent of one sixth of the entire carbon content in the atmosphere.

Currently there are 385 parts per million (ppm) of CO2 in Earth's atmosphere (.0003)  If ALL of the carbon in the artic soil were released, it would only add 64 ppm(.000064)  And there is no way that ALL of the carbon would be released.  This is hardly "
unexpectedly huge stores of carbon dioxide" (unless your expectations were unrealistically small to begin with or your past models didn't account for this at all)  And once all the Carbon had been released, there wouldn't be any more, so it could not "fuel a vicious circle of global warming" at best, it would be a small extra blip.

from the link:

>
The Nobel Prize-winning UN panel of climate change scientists
[please don't get me started on the IGPCC]
>project temperature increases by century's end of up to six
>degrees Celsius (10.8 degrees Fahrenheit) in the Arctic region,

Assuming this alarmist top-end prediction is accurate, (I don't think it will be,) it means that for most of the winter the ground is still going to frozen.  There will be only a few weeks of extra biological activity. and this story also totally neglects the added carbon sequestation due to increased plant growth (trees and other plants will be able to grow for longer at higher latitude, and thus store more carbon than is likely to be released from decay processes.)

>which is more sensitive to global warming than any other part of the planet.


Which is why even if the worst possible case of warming (from whatever initial cause) occurs, it will not be world-ending cataclysm that most people seem to think.  Most of the warming will occur at night, during the winter, in the high latitudes, and will be most welcome to the humans and animals living there.

Main Greenland ice sheet is growing.  Antartic ice sheet is growing (expect for the western Antartic penninsula.  There is 30% more ice this year in the Artic ocean than last year.

Solar cycle 24 has been delayed, and we are probably going to have several years (if not decades assuming the cycle goes through its typical minima) of global cooling.  We will be darn lucky if we don't suffer another "little ice age"
Which is why we are not hearing about "global warming" anymore, but "climate change" so they can cover their bets and blame whatever happens on human activity.


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