RALPH ESTLING /Skeptical Inquirer Magazine
Ralph Estling writes from Ilminster, Somerset, England.
I notice that people tend to go to extremes. This is most likely to occur when they don’t understand something.
Now, the point I’d like to make is this: the fact that we don’t
comprehend something doesn’t necessarily mean that the thing is absurd.
Or profound. Our mere lack of comprehension should not cause us either
to dismiss it out of hand or to think that it must be wonderfully
brilliant. This is a somewhat obvious cautionary reminder, but people
have a tendency to view ideas and other things they don’t quite
understand as being at one of these two extremes.
For example, an awful lot of total nonsense has been written by
cultural relativists about there being no such thing as objective
truth, that truth is nothing but a mere cultural artifact, a social
creation and convention, and that goes for science and all other values
of all descriptions about everything. Postmodern philosophers write
incredible rubbish about science, about art, about literature, about
anything that comes to mind, and the intellectually chic and with-it
lap it up, because they’ve decided it must be very profound stuff if
they can’t fathom it. (Of course they don’t say they can’t fathom it.)
And if our pretensions go the other way, if our intellectual posturings
respond in the alternative direction, we decide that if we, in all our
glorious and majestic wisdom, can’t understand something, it must, ipso
facto and slam dunk, not be worth our time and effort to try. Both
attitudes, both posturings, are self-destructive of intellect. Both
should be avoided like the plague.
It’s not easy to do this, to keep our minds open and at the
same time know when to slam them shut, to know what is very possible,
what is vaguely plausible, and what is total crap. Naturally, the more
we know about the subject, the more likely it is that we won’t come to
ridiculous conclusions about it. But there’s no ironclad guarantee
about that. Very knowledgeable people have come to very wrong and even
stupid conclusions about all manner of things throughout human history,
even before Aristotle, one of the most intelligent human beings who
ever lived and who came to all kinds of wrong conclusions. And then
there was his teacher, Plato, who has confused more people about more
things over more time than anyone else who ever lived. So it isn’t that
the experts are necessarily stupid (not necessarily) as much as it is
that they lack enough detailed knowledge and therefore the ability
(often through no fault of their own—Newton would have profited by
having knowledge of special and general relativity but can hardly be
blamed for this failure) to use that knowledge properly, to work out,
interpret what facts they do have in the right way, because the facts
they don’t have and maybe can’t possibly have preclude this. Added to
this is the likelihood that they can’t possibly know precisely what
facts they are lacking. Generally, no one can be blamed, but that
shouldn’t prevent us from bearing this problem in mind the next time an
expert tells us something based on his expertise. More worryingly,
there are many occasions when the experts can be and should be blamed,
even scientific ones. Witness the Bogdanov brothers, proclaimed as
geniuses by one set of physics experts and as makers of absolute
rubbish by another set of physics experts.
And then there is the case of an undisputed genius.
While working on the mathematics of his general theory, Einstein
discovered to his surprise that, according to his calculations, the
universe wasn’t static but must be expanding or contracting. But all
the experts knew the universe was static, and so Einstein, who was no
expert in astronomy, bowed to their superior expertise and forced
himself to invent a get-out clause, the Cosmological Constant, an ad
hoc, arbitrary force by which the universe stayed the same size forever
by counteracting gravity. A few years later, when Friedmann in Russia
and Hubble in California showed that the universe was expanding,
Einstein sighed oy veh and called his Constant the biggest blunder in
his life: he had discovered that the universe was increasing in volume
and threw this immensely important discovery away in order to, as the
saying goes, “save the appearances” rather than have faith in what his
equations told him, whatever the experts said.1
And just to show that there is irony within irony, over the
last twenty years or so, several cosmologists have re-thought the
Cosmological Constant and decided that it, or something very much like
it, may well be required after all, and they call it “dark energy,”
“vacuum energy,” “lambda,” “quintessence,” and one or two other things
that I can’t recall at the moment. I guess it shows that we shouldn’t
be too quick to jump. And it also shows that we shouldn’t be too slow
to jump. This is the celebrated Goldilocks Principle, finding Baby
Bear’s chair, porridge, and bed not too hard, not too soft, not too
hot, not too cold, but just right. Easy to talk about, not so easy to
put into effect, especially when you don’t know everything, which is
always the case, even with experts. For example, a slight problem still
remains with vacuum energy, the “dark energy” of so-called empty space.
According to the arithmetic, the amount of this energy exceeds the
amount that has been actually observed by a factor of 10123—that is to
say, 1 followed by 123 noughts, a noticeable discrepancy. (To be fair
to the physicists, I’ve come across other, lower estimates, the lowest
discrepancy being merely 1056.)
It gets worse. Some physicists have begun challenging long-held
shibboleths about the “constants” of nature, like gravity’s strength,
light’s velocity, the ratio between the proton’s mass and that of the
electron, and the “fine-structure constant,” which governs the
interaction of light and electrons. These soi-distant constants vary
over time, they proclaim. Other physicists hotly reject this blasphemy,
this shattering of physics’ holy-of-holies.
So, what is the point of all this? The point is that a balance
must be struck so that nonestablishment science ideas are given a
public outing, while nonscientific ideas masquerading as science are
not allowed to get away with calling themselves science, or at least
not get away with it without a big rumpus. Of course, the problem
involves separating the sheep from the goats. Don’t ask me for the
magic formula of how you do this. All I know is that some funny
scientific ideas are worth thinking about and worth going out looking
for evidence for and against and some aren’t. You work it out. I’m just
the idea man. All I can say is that it involves balance.
Balancing things, one against the other, is always a good idea;
it keeps us from being too credulous or too cock-sure, believing
whatever nonsense the experts dish out, just because we don’t
understand, or sneering an idea out of our contemptuous consideration,
just because we don’t understand.
And so, now I read that someone at the University of Ulm has
decided that the universe is shaped like a trumpet— not the modern sort
that curls around and has valves but like the old-fashioned kind that
blew fanfares and flourishes, and has a straight tube that flares out
into negative curvature, like a Pringle potato chip, at one end and, at
the other, just tapers down to a point—no mouthpiece, just a point—and
beyond the point, nothing.
I’m writing this well after breakfast but I’m still not able to believe
in six impossible things. And then I think: is this just the wise old
skepticism of a wise old man who has heard it all before? Or is it just
the arrogance of ignorance? I’m not sure. But I feel vaguely worried.
And then I ask a God I don’t believe in to let me learn a whole lot
more than I know now, or think I know now. So that I won’t run the risk
of being too clever by half, or too stupid by a hundredfold.
Because, when you stop to think about it, this is an utterly
incredible, marvelous universe we inhabit. We shouldn’t worship it, but
we should, I think, be awestruck by it and learn as much as we can
about it, as a sort of tribute to it. And be grateful that we have had
the opportunity to become, if only for a little while, acquainted with
some small part of it.
And what a rare and extraordinary privilege to be part of it. Think (as
well as you can) of all the possible beings, all the life-forms,
conscious or not, that might have existed since the dawn of time (if
time had a dawn) but never got the opportunity to exist because, as bad
luck and circumstance dictated, Darwinian natural selection and
accident ruled them out, through no fault of their own. Yet, somehow,
for reasons we cannot begin to understand, we have existed, we have
occupied time and space. And, what’s more, been granted brains to use,
if we choose to. Incredible. Wondrous. Miraculous.
And so you wonder why on earth—or anywhere—beings supplied with
a brain need gods and their miracles and the whole shebang, the whose
paraphernalia of the paranormal and the supernatural and all the rest
of that malarkey, in order to feel amazed with the way things are.
You got to laugh, you really got to laugh.
Notes
1. Woody Allen vividly describes his trauma when, as a teenager, he
first learned that the universe was expanding. He thought this meant
that everything else, including Brooklyn, was expanding, too. His
mother had to inform him firmly that Brooklyn was not expanding and he
should eat his supper. Like all Jewish mothers, she was right: Brooklyn
is not expanding.
Source: http://www.csicop.org/si/2007-04/estling.html